As many avid readers know, 2012 has cast some doubt over the weather prediction skills of CTA Chief Weather Boffin Jos the Boss . It was claimed by some that Mr Boss was not predicting the weather at all, that he was just reporting what he saw. Boss' boss, gethinceri admirably stuck by his man, but the critics remained vocal especially after the introduction of new regulations that closed some of the quantum superposition loopholes that Boss had been exploiting.
It seems that further research is necessary into Jos' clairvoyance and so, I introduce a little game to test this apparent phenomenon. Slyboogy and mjo are the sponsored challengers but anyone and everyone else is invited to join so that we can gather as much data as possible
Here is how it works
You get two chances to guess what the weather is going to do at each race next year.
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Think of your second guess as the chance to stick or twist.
How do you score points?
Each race will be declared A, B, C or D and the number of points awarded for each outcome is shown in the table above.
If youguess predict correctly with both your first and second guesses , your points are doubled. For example, you say it's going to be dry in Bahrain and you stick with that just before the race, you score 4 points.
If you twist and change your mind with your second guess and get it right the second time, you get the points for the correct answer. So, if you say now that it's going to be B, 'threatening', in Britain, but change your mind to A and it is dry, you score 2 points.
If you twist and change your mind with your second guess and get it right first time, but wrong the second time, you lose two points. For example, if you say now that it's going to be C, 'varied', in Belgium, but change your mind to A but it turns out to be varied after all, you lose 2 points.
If neither guess is right you score 0.
How to enter
You need to get your initial predictions in on or before 31st January 2013. Please do so in the following format by replying to this thread. Your second guess will be via a poll that will be set up before each race.
AUS=A
MAL=A
CHI=A
TUR=A
ESP=A
MON=A
CAN=A
GBR=A
GER=A
HUN=A
BEL=A
ITA=A
SGP=A
JPN=A
KOR=A
IND=A
ABU=A
USA=A
BRA=A
Rules
Judge's decision final and not subject to appeal.
Edit: the judge can edit the rules if they choose
It seems that further research is necessary into Jos' clairvoyance and so, I introduce a little game to test this apparent phenomenon. Slyboogy and mjo are the sponsored challengers but anyone and everyone else is invited to join so that we can gather as much data as possible
Here is how it works
You get two chances to guess what the weather is going to do at each race next year.
- your first guess must be entered on or before 31st January 2013
- your second guess must be entered on or before 10pm on the Thursday before the race
| Option | Points | Name | Description | A | 2 | Dry | no rain | B | 4 | Threatening | tv shots of spectators with umbrellas up, drizzle etc but less than 5 cars do a lap or more on inters / wets | C | 6 | Varied | at least 10 cars do a lap or more on dry tyres and at least 5 cars do a lap or more on inters / wets | D | 8 | Full Wet | less than 10 cars do a lap or more on dry tyres and / or weather related safety car / red flag / start delay |
|---|
Think of your second guess as the chance to stick or twist.
How do you score points?
Each race will be declared A, B, C or D and the number of points awarded for each outcome is shown in the table above.
If you
If you twist and change your mind with your second guess and get it right the second time, you get the points for the correct answer. So, if you say now that it's going to be B, 'threatening', in Britain, but change your mind to A and it is dry, you score 2 points.
If you twist and change your mind with your second guess and get it right first time, but wrong the second time, you lose two points. For example, if you say now that it's going to be C, 'varied', in Belgium, but change your mind to A but it turns out to be varied after all, you lose 2 points.
If neither guess is right you score 0.
How to enter
You need to get your initial predictions in on or before 31st January 2013. Please do so in the following format by replying to this thread. Your second guess will be via a poll that will be set up before each race.
AUS=A
MAL=A
CHI=A
TUR=A
ESP=A
MON=A
CAN=A
GBR=A
GER=A
HUN=A
BEL=A
ITA=A
SGP=A
JPN=A
KOR=A
IND=A
ABU=A
USA=A
BRA=A
Rules
Judge's decision final and not subject to appeal.
Edit: the judge can edit the rules if they choose
if it doesn't work, we can always try and do something different next year!
