Is this season 2004 in disguise?

... historically there is only an 18% chance of winning if you start below 4th!

Not if your name's John "Not the one out off of Sherlock Holmes" Watson, there isn't! He had an average starting position of lower than 11th for his five wins!
 
Not if your name's John "Not the one out off of Sherlock Holmes" Watson, there isn't! He had an average starting position of lower than 11th for his five wins!

Yes, but that is the exception rather than the rule. If he'd qualified on pole more than twice he'd have probably won more races...
 
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