I don't think that Ferrari is up on power, Ferrari has a better management and deployment of the MGU, you could clearly see that at Spa where the Ferraris were much quicker out of Eau Rouge and the Mercs were quicker at the end of the Kemmel straight. Taking that into account I'd say that the Mercs will be stronger on the main straight and on the bit from Lesmo 2 down to Parabolica, whereas the Ferraris might have a small advantage from the first chicane down to la RoggiaThe Ferrari is up on power compared to the Merc. How does that hurt Ferrari more than Merc? Historically the FIA has favored Ferrari...
Another of your great posts.I can't believe how silly Ferrari was today, mistake after mistake by both the pit wall and their drivers.
First of all: what is Kimi's role? is he there to help Vettel or is he there to race him? because this is quite a fundamental issue, Mercedes has a leader and a wingman, today the wingman was instrumental in Hamilton's victory, if Ferrari want to try and challenge Hamilton for the WDC they need some sort of input from Kimi, and today there was none, Kimi's only input - although probably unintentional - was in destrying Vettel's race.
I know that Kimi was voted driver of the day, I struggle to understand how this could be the case, he did nothing remarkable apart from slamming the door in the face of his team mate twice in a matter of 650 metres.
Let's start from the beginning: Kimi's only purpose at the start was to slam the door on Vettel, he gunned for his right as soon as the wheels started to move. Then when Vettel managed to get alongside him on the outside he closed on the outside. But that was not all, he then charged with a do or die move on the inside of Vettel under braking, and obviously Vettel went wide at turn 1 of the first chicane. That is when IMHO Vettel lost the race, because he got a nudge from Hamilton (obviously unintentional because it could have been very costly for Hamilton, but at the chicane in Monza these things happen), so Vettel was not only wide for turning into the second half of the chicane, but he also had to correct a (small) slide from the rear end of his car.
Vettel's angle of attack for the second part of the chicane was compromised, he was on the engine a bit later than he should have been when he exited the corner and lost some valuable time. This allowed Hamilton to be much quicker into Curva Grande and into the braking at La Roggia.
At this very moment Vettel was toast.
Vettel in fairness did a mistake when he tried to resist Hamilton's move, defending from such a position at la Roggia never ever works, Vettel was quite naive in his move.
So in a matter of less than 1,5 km Ferrari's WDC chances were already compromised by their mistakes, but that was no all, they had some further mistakes to come.
First mistake: they fell into Mercedes' trap at the pit stop, I don't believe for a single second that Hamilton could have undercut Kimi for the very simple reason that Hamilton could keep close to Kimi (and therefore close to Kimi's times) only thanks to the slipstreams, as Emanuele Pirro correctly pointed out Hamilton could gain about half a second thanks to the tow that he was taking from Kimi's car from Parabolica to the first chicane. Being fooled into pitting Kimi so early was a massive mistake for Ferrari, Monza is one of the very few tracks where perceptions about undercuts can be deceptive. And Ferrari duly fell into the trick that Mercedes prepared for them
then Kimi had to push like a madman (because he didn't have what it takes to be fast on that track with that car and look after his car) and he destroyed his rear tyres.
Obviously since we talk about Kimi he didn't even try to defend his position and was very fair in letting Hamilton through (Kimi is a good sport, we all know that).
then Kimi lost contact from Hamilton and was very slow, and in fairness his rear tyres looked suspiciously dangerous to me. Vettel was 5th on track catching up on Verstappen - Bottas with Verstappen who had to lose 5 seconds for the (very lenient) penalty that he received fort pushing Bottas off the track. So Vettel was quickly getting close to P4.
If Ferrari was a team and not a group of people who happen to meet every other week end they would have pitted Kimi at that stage, and there were 2 very good reasons for pitting Kimi:
1 - Kimi's rear tyres risked delamination, and
2 - if Kimi pitted Vettel would have finished 3rd rather than 4th, 3 extra points for Vettel to try and keep the WDC even remotely open.
Obviously Ferrari didn't pit Kimi and that WDC is now closed, what I struggle to understand is what gain did they achieve by having their #2 driver finish 2nd and no chance to keep the WDC open rather than having their #1 driver finish 3rd with a very very slim chance of keeping the WDC open, I really don't understand this. And I don't understand this because this time Kimi didn't play that good team mate as he did sometimes in the past, this time he raced his team mate and no one else, so IMHO they could have pitted him, this week end Ferrari had no moral obligation towards Kimi whatsoever.
To sum it all up I'd say that the pit wall is incompetent, Kimi is pointless and Vettel very naive. That is why Ferrari will lose the 2018 WDC despite the best car
Other than that Hamilton drove a sterling race, he was amazing but his car was not as fast as the Ferraris, he won and the Ferraris lost the race. For that reason I think that Hamilton will be a worthy 2018 WDC. I know that sometimes what Mercedes asks of Bottas is not very dignified and certainly not very sporty but Ferrari are shooting themselves in their feet every single time that they go racing. IMHO Arrivabene has to go and Kimi's car has to be made available for Leclerc, Kimi will never win again, he's past his best, sadly
Nico's comments were almost over the top in his praise of Hamilton, but Hamilton did drive a good race today.
that is what should worry Vettel's fans, if Kimi gets in the way it's over for VettelThe situation gets easier or worse if either Bottas or Raikkonen insert themselves in the mix. So far this year, Raikkonen has finished in front of Hamilton one time, taking 3 points from Hamilton, whereas Bottas has been in front of Vettel three times taking 8 points from Vettel.
I get the feeling that Vettel is very much like a shortbread biscuit. Fine under normal circumstances and very much an outstanding biscuit of its type however, under even a slight amount of pressure it's liable to crumble.
F1 drivers as biscuits is brilliantSo don't dunk Sebastian Vettel in your tea.
Max Verstappen is a Jaffa Cake. He is often quoted by people as their favourite biscuit but there is a whole argument to suggest he is not a biscuit at all.
Bottas is a Rich Tea in that they are plain, a bit dull and no one's first choice, however when it comes down to it they are just as good as nearly all other biscuits.
Nico Hulkenberg is a Garibaldi because he is never featured in the luxury biscuits collection but is probably superior than some that are.