Grand Prix 2011 Hungarian Grand Prix Practice, Qualifying & Race Discussion

Who was saying 2011 was boring?

It's amazing how a few non Red Bull dominated races can change the complexion of F1 and suddenly it's exciting again. However before we get too carried away, Vettel still holds a massive points lead and despite a poor (by his standards) race in Germany, he is still hot favourite as the F1 circus rolls into Hungary.

Hungary isn't known for it's exciting races (apart from 2006 possibly thanks to the weather) due to the dust bowl and lack of overtaking oppurtunities, but if 2011 is anything to go by, the phrase 'no overtaking' has been thrown out of the dictionary.

Despite recent set backs Red Bull will be favourites to bounce back at a circuit which suits them to a tee with weather conditions that will be beneficial to Vettel who struggled with grip at the chilly Nurburgring. However Ferrari and Mclaren have shown that they won't just stand still and let Red Bull walk to the championship with Hamilton and Alonso winning in the last 2 grand prix.

Indeed Mclaren seemed to be in trouble going into the German GP as they were off the pace of the Red Bulls and Ferraris, but in Hamiltons hands the car made a miracle recovery to not only take a front row position ahead of Vettel, but take the teams third win of the season after very stiff competition from Alonso and Webber. Is this the start of the established teams fightback?

Even beleagured Ferrari driver Massa has showed improved form recently with two 5th placed positions in the last 2 races but they could have easily been 2 fourth places had it not been for a strong defensive rearguard from Hamilton in Silverstone and a pit stop mess up in Germany which enabled Vettel to get past on the last lap. As Ferrari plan to take the fight to Red Bull, they will need Massa to take points off Vettel and Webber if Alonso is to have any chance of a miracle fightback.

Mercedes are in a league of their own at the moment, but not in a good way. They are faster than the likes of Renault and Force India, but slower than Ferrari, Red Bull and Mclaren and the 7th/8th place almost has a Mercedes name penned in if there aren't any incidents, (which knowing Schumacher is rare)

Renault have dropped off badly after a strong start to the season and after a crash from Heidfeld and a poor race from Petrov, they now find themselves picking up the scraps in the midfield for 5th place in the championship as Mercedes start to pull away from the black and gold outfit, maybe a tweak of the exhaust might bring them better fortunes in Hungary.

One person who drove a great race in Germany but hardly got any recognition was Adrian Sutil who drove probably the best race of the German drivers. 6th place after a strong qualifying will no doubt relieve the pressure that had been building on him and will show to Di Resta that he won't have things his own way at Force India and that Hulkenberg might have to wait a while for a race seat.

No doubt that there won't be any uncertainties about the weather this weekend as more often than not Hungary provides a race weekend with 30 degree sunshine with not a cloud to be seen, apart from the 2006 race which was notable for Jenson Buttons first win in the Honda.

For Galahads superb circuit write up see here http://cliptheapex.com/pages/hungaroring/
 
I am just hoping that Lewis and Seb get off 1st/2nd in whatever order. I can see them romping away pushing each other on and away from the rest. The only other 1 would be Alonso who could match them but too far back. Can maybe see them trying 1 stop less to bring him into play (possibly).
 
So, how about this scenario? Loads of wheelspin off the line for Vettel / Button / Alonso, with Hamilton / Massa / Webber storming through on the (now) grippier side. Lewis in front, Massa in 2nd, Webber collects team mate, Button narrowly avoids to go 3rd, Alonso 4th. Button passes Massa, who later gets a radio message after which Alonso somehow manages to get past to round off the podium.

Or Vettel could just run away with it.
 
I can see DRS having a big play in today's race, probably more than any other race so far. After qualie the sector times for each car at the front were so close and they now have a nice long straight to blast down. The Red Bull's could be hampered by their lighter, less powerful KERS.
 
Some more tweets stolen from the BBC F1 web-site, you actually get some interesting snippets from there:

Urgh, it is very drizzly at the Hungaroring. Track temperature a lowly 16C. sarahholtf1

Dark clouds and umbrellas up at the Hungaroring but reports say chance of rain decreasing throughout the day LeeMcKenzieF1
 
That is great, hopefully it'll be McLaren 1 - 2 after the first corner. Seb will have his hands full!

Not many people have talked about it but, although it will still be very difficult for anyone to catch Seb, McLaren could still take the constructors title if they can consistently both be on the podium and Ferrari take a few points off Red Bull. Constructors is much easier to catch up as you have twice as many points to grab or lose.
 
Adam Cooper just tweeted:- "Track still damp for GP2 race but forecast says we will have a dry Grand Prix - albeit on a green and cold track..."

Sounds perfect for McLaren. Bad for Ferrari. Baring in mind, when the track was at its 'greenest' on Friday, the two McLaren boys looked to have a good setup, even Red Bull found it slippery.
 
Interesting and revealing comments from Webber on why he was so far back:-

“It wasn’t the smoothest session,” said Webber. “Basically if you look at the last lap, which was the most important lap because it was the only lap I had KERS for, I was very optimistic that I could do a pretty good job. The problems started really on the out lap, because the McLaren’s out lap was like the old Jaguar out laps, just tootling around. They just cruise, and they can go bang, and they have temperature and away.



“We need more pace than that. I couldn’t go any quicker, because JB wouldn’t let me pass. Which is fair enough, that’s all fair game, I don’t have a problem with that. I’d do the same thing if I had to do an out lap like that. And I was also mindful of the fact that there wasn’t a huge amount of time left in the session, I had to keep an eye on that.

“It was my first lap onto the start/finish with KERS and DRS, it looks like I activated the DRS early and it didn’t respond, so I did the whole straight without DRS. The rolling split I didn’t notice that I didn’t have the DRS open because I used the KERS, so the rolling split didn’t look bad compared with my previous lap, because I had the KERS. That in combination with JB, my first sector was a complete disaster. From Turn 5 the lap I did was identical to Sebastian.”

Technically Webber is driving a Jaguar. Tenuous, I know.
 
I've already got Lewis as favourite for Spa. There is a real possibility of three on the trot here and that makes it 6 wins for Seb against 4 for Lewis. I'm getting very optimistic here but if Hammy as the same attitude it might just keep this championship alive.
 
I sometimes ask myself, why do teams go option/option/option/prime instead of option/option/prime/option or anything where hards aren't last. The gain on low fuel and options is much better than primes and low fuel.
I think its more to do with waiting until the track is fully rubbered in as then you lose less time on the Prime tyres..
 
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