Barring a disaster, its Nico's to lose. Hamilton may have more pace but he cant get off the line at the start of the race. People keep saying that Hamilton has the mental edge but I dont think he does. IMO, Hamilton is totally in his own head because his starts are so bad and knows that no matter how fast he is, it doesnt matter if he cant get off the line.
At this point, Nico doesnt need to beat Lewis in order to win it, he just needs to finish 2nd.