Grand Prix 2015 Australian Grand Prix Practice, Qualifying & Race Discussion

The penultimate test before the start of the season is under way so time for us all to speculate on what will happen in Australia as the teams actually race one another for the first time under the revised eco-regs. Gone are the anteater snouts, although the cars still aren't particularly pretty (to my eye at least) and we have a mix up on the driver front.

Mercedes continue with double World Champion Lewis Hamilton, who wont use car No.1 (BOO!) and Nico Rosberg whilst their likely challenges have been playing musical chairs. Fernando Alonso has gone back to McLaren and Ron Dennis is doing his Basil Fawlty impression "don't mentioned 2007. I mentioned it once but I think I got away with it" and JB retains his seat after fevered speculation :sleeping: that he would be dropped in favour of K Mag to see how well Honda can do on their return to F1 after a 6 year absence.

Vettel slips into Fernando's seat at Ferrari with the hope of dragging the red menace back to it's Schumacher glory days or perhaps even back to it's real glory days of being "The" F1 team. Kimi Raikkonen carries on Ferrari, presumably the team management saw something else last season compared to us humble fans to justify keeping him on for another bash. Either that or they discovered that Alonso had been feeding Kimi Magnum's laced with mogadon.

The Honey Badger will smile his way through the season as Red Bull's defacto No.1 with Danni Kyvat taking his place as the junior driver. What chance of a repeat of 2014 with the new boy at Red Bull showing the incumbent how it's done? Will Renault have manged to close the gap to the Mercedes power unit? As the only other team to win a race in 2014 Red Bull should be best placed to challenge the Mercedes but who knows what the other teams have been up to over the winter.

No change at Williams, Massa and Bottas continue with Mercedes power. I still can't get used to Williams Mercedes but then I'm just an old git. Assuming Williams have the same system behind the driver as the works team and their car has evolved over the winter could we see Frank's team challenging for wins?

The RB junior team has a completely new line up with Carlos Sainz and Max Verstappen at Toro Rosso. I would suggest they are as likely to be allowed to beat the main Red Bull team as Williams are the Mercs but then I'm just cynical.

Lotus, or Team Enstone as some might say, continue with Grosjean and some bloke with braces on his teeth and a huge bag full of petro dollars, this time with a Merc engine to push it along. Gone is the double nose in favour of a far more orthodox car. They should be able to challenge Force India for places this season but I doubt they will be much higher up. FI have a stable driver line up with Hulkenberg and Perez but there is much speculation about the dire state of their finances as rumours abound that Vijay Mallay is on his uppers. It may explain the haircut as he can't have paid for someone to do that to his head.

And finally to Sauber. Felipe Nasr and Marcus Ericsson have replaced Gutirrez and Sutil, I woudl presume because of the size of pay cheque they can provide. Sauber need a good season as scoring Null Points in 2014 must have cost them big in the FOM prize money pay out. They have also been very conservative in their car design but if testing is to be believed it's a fairly speedy machine and I cannot believe they won't pick up a few points this year.

Marussia or Manor GP are threatening to turn up in last years car just to make Bob Fernley feel guilty for vetoing the idea of team using the 2014 car for the first 2 or 3 races but, as has been pointed out in the past, this is the Piranha Club so don't expect any favours from the other teams.

So what to expect at Albert Park? I suspect Mercedes will still be the team to beat but the gap will have closed to Red Bull and Ferrari. Williams will be a subservient No.2 team and be close but not quite close enough. In the midfield I expect lots of racing as the team left in F1 for 2015 all appear to be very similar in terms of machinery, cash and driver capabilities. The big unanswered question is how the Mclaren Honda will perform and I don't think we will find that out until FP1 on the Friday or even come the end of the race on Sunday.

Welcome back F1, we have missed you.
 
I doubt it, they have plenty of money and Mercedes in particular should not have been affected by Marussia and Caterham leaving. It's smaller suppliers for bits of bodywork or internals or whatever, presumably companies that rely on business from several teams. I think in the case of Force India it might have been related to building the chassis itself.
 
So this will be the first Grand Prix without Alonso on the grid since the 2002 Japanese GP. That race finished with a Ferrari 1-2, Raikkonen was 3rd, Button 6th and Felipe Massa retired!

Some things change some just stay the same.

sushifiesta whilst I do understand the theory about the financial struggles of the current teams being Caterham and Marussia's fault I think its an odd excuse. Those teams couldn't settle their bills because of the rapidly growing cost of F1 and the monoply of the money coming into the sport by the big teams and FOM. The current teams can't pay their bills for the same reason only now the suppliers are aware how things are going in F1 they've decided to be a bit wiser about letting them off paying upfront. This is still down to the money distribution and costs of F1 not down to two teams going bust.

Blaming Caterham and Marussia for this issue is a bit like blaming the disenfranchised for being poor or the woman for the rape.
 
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The small teams can't pay their bills for one very small reason and that small reason is the same small reason that the actual circuits where Grand Prix events are held can barely break even on a Formula One weekend these venues are the life and soul of F1 and yet that does not matter for one very small reason.

What is that very small reason I hear you ask with a gasp of anticipation, in your collective catching of breath of knowing what that very small reason is.

I shall inform you of this.

You may very well be shocked in the knowledge to know that, that very small reason is...

This bloke.

Bernie-Ecclestone-Might-Face-10-Years-In-Jail-05.jpg
 
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I would like to add that my above post has nothing to do with the gentlemen's stature, although it is diminutive, no indeed it has more to do with his small mindedness which is legendary all he cares about is filling his pockets with cash and keeping his daughters in shoes..
 
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Medium and soft tyres for this race. Same for Bahrain and China. Malaysia will use the hards and the mediums. Same as last year for all four races.
 
They won't finish ahead of any cars that don't retire/have major issues, there's absolutely zero chance that they'll be more competitive than last year. I am glad it looks like they'll survive though.
 
If small teams are struggling financially... the suppliers are going to get itchy feet about outstanding bills owed ... you chase the debtors or demand upfront payment or no more services or equipment will be supplied . That is business

Caterham owe money to Renault which is the most expensive engine to lease at over $20m, Ferrari and Mercedes come under that but it is still hefty for teams like Marussia, Sauber , Lotus.

That is a real hefty outlay on small teams cashflow. The trouble is the way the revenue is structured by Bernie based on the Constructors positions at only less than 50% of the total TV revenue received - the rest goes to Bernie's own wallet. Add on top the money is only received usually the season after position of the final positions of the constructors championship makes it very difficult for small teams to keep competing when there is little revenue coming back to them

However the teams have to be able to spend within their means and build contingency plans .
 
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