Grand Prix 2015 Australian Grand Prix Practice, Qualifying & Race Discussion

The penultimate test before the start of the season is under way so time for us all to speculate on what will happen in Australia as the teams actually race one another for the first time under the revised eco-regs. Gone are the anteater snouts, although the cars still aren't particularly pretty (to my eye at least) and we have a mix up on the driver front.

Mercedes continue with double World Champion Lewis Hamilton, who wont use car No.1 (BOO!) and Nico Rosberg whilst their likely challenges have been playing musical chairs. Fernando Alonso has gone back to McLaren and Ron Dennis is doing his Basil Fawlty impression "don't mentioned 2007. I mentioned it once but I think I got away with it" and JB retains his seat after fevered speculation :sleeping: that he would be dropped in favour of K Mag to see how well Honda can do on their return to F1 after a 6 year absence.

Vettel slips into Fernando's seat at Ferrari with the hope of dragging the red menace back to it's Schumacher glory days or perhaps even back to it's real glory days of being "The" F1 team. Kimi Raikkonen carries on Ferrari, presumably the team management saw something else last season compared to us humble fans to justify keeping him on for another bash. Either that or they discovered that Alonso had been feeding Kimi Magnum's laced with mogadon.

The Honey Badger will smile his way through the season as Red Bull's defacto No.1 with Danni Kyvat taking his place as the junior driver. What chance of a repeat of 2014 with the new boy at Red Bull showing the incumbent how it's done? Will Renault have manged to close the gap to the Mercedes power unit? As the only other team to win a race in 2014 Red Bull should be best placed to challenge the Mercedes but who knows what the other teams have been up to over the winter.

No change at Williams, Massa and Bottas continue with Mercedes power. I still can't get used to Williams Mercedes but then I'm just an old git. Assuming Williams have the same system behind the driver as the works team and their car has evolved over the winter could we see Frank's team challenging for wins?

The RB junior team has a completely new line up with Carlos Sainz and Max Verstappen at Toro Rosso. I would suggest they are as likely to be allowed to beat the main Red Bull team as Williams are the Mercs but then I'm just cynical.

Lotus, or Team Enstone as some might say, continue with Grosjean and some bloke with braces on his teeth and a huge bag full of petro dollars, this time with a Merc engine to push it along. Gone is the double nose in favour of a far more orthodox car. They should be able to challenge Force India for places this season but I doubt they will be much higher up. FI have a stable driver line up with Hulkenberg and Perez but there is much speculation about the dire state of their finances as rumours abound that Vijay Mallay is on his uppers. It may explain the haircut as he can't have paid for someone to do that to his head.

And finally to Sauber. Felipe Nasr and Marcus Ericsson have replaced Gutirrez and Sutil, I woudl presume because of the size of pay cheque they can provide. Sauber need a good season as scoring Null Points in 2014 must have cost them big in the FOM prize money pay out. They have also been very conservative in their car design but if testing is to be believed it's a fairly speedy machine and I cannot believe they won't pick up a few points this year.

Marussia or Manor GP are threatening to turn up in last years car just to make Bob Fernley feel guilty for vetoing the idea of team using the 2014 car for the first 2 or 3 races but, as has been pointed out in the past, this is the Piranha Club so don't expect any favours from the other teams.

So what to expect at Albert Park? I suspect Mercedes will still be the team to beat but the gap will have closed to Red Bull and Ferrari. Williams will be a subservient No.2 team and be close but not quite close enough. In the midfield I expect lots of racing as the team left in F1 for 2015 all appear to be very similar in terms of machinery, cash and driver capabilities. The big unanswered question is how the Mclaren Honda will perform and I don't think we will find that out until FP1 on the Friday or even come the end of the race on Sunday.

Welcome back F1, we have missed you.
 
Ron is not very gifted in the English language. For him a phrase is a better option than an 'accurate' word - the other problem is that he does love the sound of his own voice.

He could have been mighty if only he would shut up.
 
Ron is past his own sell by date. I read an interview with him in the mid 80's where he reckoned he had 10 aggressive years. Here we are in 2015 and he's still hanging about with McLaren going from disaster to disaster in F1.
 
If Ron thinks the way to go is taking McLaren back to the McLaren he knows from when they were huge in the 80's its going to be interesting to watch that journey.
 
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What I will find interesting is that we will be attending both the GP here in Australia, and then the Formula E race in Long Beach. The comparison should be fascinating.
 
I think it is too much to think that there was renewed optimism that Mclaren Honda will finally show up their real pace

At this rate they won't last 10 laps .. they have not turned the car in full anger and there would be some hysterics should Manor turn up and manage to finish the race ahead of them
 
With the amount of problems they must have learnt something and Honda will not want to repeat the F1 Honda team dabacle of 2006 to 2008 the loss of more face won't sit well, so will throw everything at it in the next fortnight
 
So we have a crunch day coming up for this race. Friday March 6th is the day all the teams have to have everything ready to be shipped out to make it to Melbourne so by the end of the week we should know how many teams we'll have on the grid. Lets remember now that with the new 'miss 3 races' rule teams can duck out for a race or two if they want and those with financial trouble and issues getting the car ready in time might see the ultimate long haul of Australia as the best one to miss.

If we are being super optimistic we will have 20 cars on the grid. If all the rumours in the media are to believed then we could end up with just 12. What that will do to F1's rep and the reaction of the Australian fans if we only have 12 would be.....lets say.....interesting.

The likelyhood is it will be somewhere in the middle of those figures. I'd love to see Manor F1 there but in realtiy its very unlikely we'll see the in Australia - although don't rule them out of turning up at Malyasia or China. Enstone always seem to pull through so I imagine they'll make it too. I'll say the same for Sauber although the fact they didn't have a spare gearbox at Barcelona is worrying. Force India are the one that could go either way as they currently only have one car built and a lot of money issues. I suspect they'll ship out to save face with one car built and the other in pieces and not get it running, effectivly running one car for the event.

So I'm guessing 17 on the starting grid. Anyone else want to make a prediction?
 
Force India, Sauber and Lotus may be struggling but I have no doubts they'll be there. To me it just seems impossible that Manor could make it to Melbourne considering what happened in the tail end of last year, but the noises coming out of the team are positive. I'll be shocked if it's less than 18 and pleasantly surprised if it's more than 18.
 
As I understand it, Ecclestone has made advance payments to some of the teams.

That more than anything should highlight just how bad a state F1 is in.
 
"because of the risk of a second concussion"...

Hold on, didn't R.Dennis go on on record a mere few days ago saying Fernando was OK and "didn't even have a concussion"?...
 
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They're just being very cautious which is perfectly understandable (and might I say commendable) for a head injury, especially considering they won't be getting (m)any points from Melbourne based on current evidence...
 
That more than anything should highlight just how bad a state F1 is in.

It's been in the paper today. As you say, for Bernie "Tough Shit" Ecclestone to publicly announce he is forcing open CVC's wallet to pay out some cash early to the bottom three, highlights what sort of problems they are facing.

The big problem with this action though is that they are spending today what they should have been given tomorrow. That means when tomorrow comes there won't be another hand out. It's very much like a "pay day loan".

Once they use up that cash they will be no more forthcoming. That could be a serious issue for the likes of Force India who it would seem, are seriously on edge.
 
The story is that some suppliers have been hit by the demise of Caterham and Marussia so had to demand payments early from the surviving teams. Those early payments mean the likes of Force India, Sauber and Lotus are now struggling because they had to spend a load of money earlier than expected. It doesn't necessarily mean that they will come in to problems later on in the season (assuming they would have been fine without the supplier issues).
 
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