Grand Prix 2011 Chinese Grand Prix Practice, Qualifying & Race Discussion

So on to China, with the teams only having a few days rest after Malaysia. Last year Red Bull dominated qualifying with Christian Horner describing Vettel’s pole lap as “phenomenal”.

Come the race, however, changeable weather caught out both the Red Bull drivers and Lewis Hamilton as they pitted early expecting heavy rain. This left Jenson Button, who chose not to go in for inters, in the lead and he, along with Nico Rosberg and Robert Kubica who also stayed out on slicks, showed that it’s all about being on the right tyres at the right time.

The race should also be remembered for what looked like an astonishing start from Fernando Alonso. I watched it in an Italian hotel and the crowd literally went wild, only for the assembled throng to mope to the bar a few minutes later as Alonso was given a drive through penalty for jumping the start.

Button’s more mature tyre strategy won him the race, although he was under pressure late on from Hamilton, and the team scored their first 1-2 since Monza 2007 with Rosberg taking third for Mercedes.

2011 has been a Red Bull Fest, or perhaps more accurately a Vettel Fest, so far with the young German taking pole and race wins in the first two Grands Prix whilst his team mate has struggled with various car problems and, might I postulate, some psychological scarring from last season. McLaren are much closer than pre-season testing indicated they would be and Renault have surprised everyone with 3rd spot at both races and an ability to get off the start line reminiscent of the Benetton launch control system.

Ferrari are nowhere near where they feel they should and there will be many tired faces in their pit garage as managers and engineers flit backwards and forwards between Europe and the Far East trying to understand what is going on. Similarly Mercedes are still not even close to where they expect to be whilst Sauber and Force India are looking good for minor placings, dicing with the Toro Rosso’s.

Toward the back, Williams (it hurts me to say) look to have taken 1 step forward and 2 back with their new car and are now competing with Team Lotus to be the best of the worst. Virgin appear not to have moved any further forward compared to 2010 and HRT, despite no pre-season testing, look to have a car which, once a bit more sorted, might get ahead of them. I suppose the question there is can they sort the car?

Oh, I nearly forgot tyres. 55 pit stops in Malaysia, more marbles than a game of KerPlunk and rubber wearing out faster than Russell Brand’s bed sheets. No sign of the wet tyres yet, will Shanghai throw us a surprise (sorry, had to slip that in)

For Galahad's excellent circuit write-up, see here: http://cliptheapex.com/pages/shanghai-international-circuit/
 
This is a lovely photo! Look at all the Vettel fingers on the left!!! :snigger:

5vkz3hk

(Nothing in the fact that Whitmarsh and Jenson are looking cosy with the winners trophy in front of them I'm sure :whistle:)
 
Can someone tell me what Horner is on about? He said the following about Sebs 2 stop strategy:
"We made the decision based on being third behind the McLarens, we thought that was the best way to beat them."
Button and Vettel both pitted on 14 and Hamilton on 15, after which Vettel was ahead of both McLarens. Their strategy was identical thus far but they decided they could do the remaining 42 laps with one stop rather than 2. Surely the team principal must know the reason behind the strategy?
On top of this even the commentary said that to do a 2 stop you had to go on until ~lap 18. RB had plenty of time to adjust the strategy between the 1st and 2nd stop when it should have been clearer that they were de facto in the lead and so could just copy the McLaren strategy. I just cannot understand why they decided to do it differently with the front running car?
(And we all complain about McLaren strategy in chat!)
 
Yeah... I'm a Hamilton fan and I was bricking it, reliability never seems to strike JB though... does it?

That is what i kept thinking. I was texting my mate saying if his "bloody car let's him down again". It might just be because i notice more when he gets misfortune, but i swear he is one of the unluckiest drivers on the grid. Maybe Webber might have something to say about that for this season though.
 
I have reviewed the lap times. In particular comparing Lewis's final stint on the hard compound with Mark's on the soft. I am of the opinion that Lewis's McLaren had very competitive race pace. I don't think he would have struggled to keep up with a three stopping Sebastian Vettel. Tyre wear wouldn't have been an issue and so it would have been about pace. Lewis was as quick as Sebastian at the key phases when RBR were deciding their strategy.

Horner's two stop strategy was not as hair-brained as at first I thought.
 
The most telling phase is when Sebastian is in 2nd place and clear air, he is 5 seconds behind Nico Rosberg and Seb' makes little impression on him in 7 laps, and Lewis maintains a three second gap. When Nico and Lewis pit on lap 25 there is no reason for Red Bull to believe they have a quicker car. Maintaining track position then becomes an even more appealing option.
 
The Three Stopper's Third stints

Nico Rosberg	Jenson Button	Hamilton 	Webber
25 P 1:47.627 24 P 1:46.504 25 P 1:46.843 25 P 1:48.332
26 2:00.139 25 1:58.125 26 1:58.153 26 1:58.090
27 1:41.548 26 1:42.468 27 1:41.694 27 1:41.200
28 1:42.260 27 1:41.536 28 1:41.601 28 1:41.311
29 1:41.812 28 1:41.590 29 1:41.441 29 1:40.849
30 1:41.626 29 1:42.342 30 1:40.736 30 1:41.372
31 1:41.615 30 1:41.532 31 1:40.732 31 1:41.256
32 1:41.455 31 1:41.409 32 1:41.627 32 1:42.106
33 1:41.420 32 1:41.230 33 1:41.020 33 1:43.554
34 1:41.472 33 1:41.209 34 1:41.592 34 1:42.949
35 1:41.209 34 1:41.396 35 1:41.668 35 1:40.717
36 1:41.602 35 1:42.381 36 1:41.252 36 1:40.986
37 1:41.922 36 1:43.251 37 1:41.079 37 1:41.423
38 1:42.291 37 P 1:46.777 38 P 1:45.573 38 1:42.613
39 P 1:46.047 39 1:41.354
40 P 1:45.725
 
Interesting to note that for all four of them there wasn't a clear fall away in performance and they were all lapping similar times. I would like to see Vettels times in comparison
 
I don't know if anyone else has picked up on this yet, but according to both Ted Kravitz in his post-race piece and to an article on the Telegraph website, Mclaren didn't actually start the race intending to make three stops. According to the Telegraph they switched from a two-stop strategy after Button's first pit stop error, and according to Kravitz they simply started with an 'open mind', i.e. waiting to see how the first part of the race played out. Either way, perhaps this throws a new perspective on Mclaren's in-race strategy calls, which have come in for some [justified] stick recently.
 
The particularly odd thing about their version of an open mind is to ignore the lap times of one or other of their drivers. All of Lewis's pit stops occurred one lap after Jenson's... It struck me as a bit robotic.
 
Why didn't they have Lewis pit first seen as Jenson missed the stop? I guess there just wasn't time with Hamilton being right behind him, easy enough to read as far as the other teams are concerned anyway.
 
Interesting to note that for all four of them there wasn't a clear fall away in performance and they were all lapping similar times. I would like to see Vettels times in comparison
Because Sebastian only made the two stops his third stint lap times are a not at all similar. His times during those laps are also not directly comparable. But here they are any way.

Sebastian Vettel

25 1:42.936
26 1:43.054
27 1:42.727
28 1:43.111
29 1:42.964
30 1:44.097
31 P 1:49.097 (Hard)
32 2:00.475
33 1:42.392
34 1:42.238
35 1:41.735
36 1:41.795
37 1:41.927
38 1:41.675
39 1:41.457
40 1:41.551
 
Why didn't they have Lewis pit first seen as Jenson missed the stop? I guess there just wasn't time with Hamilton being right behind him, easy enough to read as far as the other teams are concerned anyway.

Jenson's new tyres were already out, the McLaren pit crew didn't go back in like the RBR crew did. And Jenson's tyres were shot, Lewis's were not didn't appear to be at that time...

Jenson		Lewis
11 1:45.118 11 1:45.029
12 1:45.341 12 1:45.047
13 1:45.974 13 1:45.697
14 P 1:50.890 14 1:47.762
15 P 1:52.046
 
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