Why, do you have a crystal ball? Nothing is certain in F1, Hamilton might gamble on a three stop and gun it for the entire race.
No I don't have a crystal ball...but, with all due respect to you, Hamilton won't be able to "gun it" from 9th on the grid in the early laps.
He'd like to...and as fans, we'd like him to...but it's Monaco.
Gunning it can be done in clean air or a clear road or on a track that's wide enough to allow some over-taking.
Lewis has got 4 rows of car ahead of him...and he won't be able to over-take all 4 rows of cars quickly enough on a circuit like this to get into clean air in order to be able to 'gun it' out in the open.
He's likely to get held up...and then opt to come in early...even at the end of Lap 1!
Track position is more crucial than tyres at Monaco, especially with the tyres holding up like they did in Practice.
His only hope is the podium from 9th on the grid...unless Vettel and Button and Webber take each-other out at St Devote...and then he has Alonso and Schumacher and Rosberg to contend with.
It's not as if Lewis has rookies ahead of him. They're a tough bunch, Vettel/Alonso/Schumacher/Webber, when it comes to trying to over-take them, especially on a track like they're at.
Good luck to Lewis. He'll need it.
I do, however, admire you committment and defence of Lewis, though, MCLS.