Grand Prix 2015 Chinese Grand Prix Practice, Qualifying & Race Discussion

How we all feeling folks? F1 is off to China! After the doom and despondency following Australia, Malaysia seems to have picked everybody right up. Who could have possibly predicted that a win for Sebastian Vettel and Ferrari would have been so welcomed? But China is a track which will probably better suit the Mercedes and if the technicians back in Brackley do a half decent job on the strategy it's still hard to see past a Merc 1-2. The big question is car 44 or 6.

The Ferrari's will be best of the rest and will certainly push the Mercs hard. Raikkonen's drive back to fourth in Malaysia was a bit overlooked but seems to indicate that he has found some speed and joy in F1. Although his mono-syllabic answers in the mix area after qualifying were pure Kimi.

Williams are not where they are supposed to be, keeping other cars off the tails of the Mercedes. They are the class of the customer Mercedes customer cars but I have a feeling the Lotus boys might knock them off that perch before the end of the season.

Next up will be a battle between Toro Rosso and Sauber. Another "Really?" moment for F1. Sauber looked to be all over the place in 2014, for 2015 they have sorted things out and look to have a couple of half decent drivers (assuming they keep it on the track for the whole race). Chasing the Saubers down with be Chilli Sainz and the new Wunderkind for Red Bull, Max Verstappen. Personally, I've been astonished at the maturity of his driving and how he conducts himself with the media let's hope he keeps it up as he looks every inch an F1 driver despite his lack of years and Carlos certainly hasn't been embarrassed by the whipper snapper, taking points in both of the opening races.

On to the next battle: Force India versus Red Bull. The powers that be at Red Bull really should shut up moaning about the engine, given what their sister team is achieving with the same motor, and look at sorting the car. The Honey Badger mugged a few people in Malaysia and still look quite racy, even if the car isn't up to much. Danni Kyvat has been strangely anonymous (I should point out that I have only seen highlights of the last two races). Force India are still struggling to get their new car up to speed but I suspect will pick up a few points in China. If Checo and Nico manage a whole race without running in to someone else or picking up time penalties they may start to trouble the top 10 on a regular basis

Finally, the battle at the back: Mclaren versus Manor Marussia. Oh dear. Neither car has a sponsor of note. Both have engines designed for last year. Both have an Anglo-Spanish driving partnership. The difference, for me at least is that Manor should be congratulated for even managing to build a car on their meager resources whilst McLaren (and Honda) should hang their heads in shame for providing two World Champions with one of the worst cars in McLaren's history. This machine makes the McLaren Peugeot look like a race winner.

A final statistic for all you stat addicts. Hamilton has won here 3 times, Ferrari 4 times. Can Lewis Match Ferrari's win count or will the red menace steam ahead of the lad from Stevenage?
 
Which driver, Alonso or Button, is fastest is as meaningless in China as it was in the previous GP's with the McLaren so far from it's potential. It's an absolute that both drivers will be working on different aspects of the car to accelerate development. They may started working together as they reach a fine tuning stage but they're a long way from being in that position and to work on the same program now would slow their progress hugely so comparing drivers now means nothing.
 
Mind the Gap !!!

Now that FP2 is out of the way and the cars / drivers / teams have settled into the circuit I thought it would be interesting to look at the gap between team mates. I'll try and do the same after Practice 3 as well.

Here is how they stand so far.

Read as fastest driver first (all times in secs):

Merhi / Stevens 1.591
Bottas / Massa 1.573
Hamilton / Rosberg 1.180
Nasr / Erricson 0.719
Hulkenberg / Perez 0.717
Raikonen / Vettel 0.677
Button / Alonso 0.468
Ricciardo / Kyvat 0.426
Grosjean / Maldonado 0.302
Verstappen / Sainz 0.180
 
Does anyone know what the recommended tyre strategy will be for most cars e.g. 2 or 3 stops? If it's 3 stops I can see Ferrari doing 2 in a repeat of Malaysia but hopefully this time there would be no safety car to ruin the strategy battle.
 
It has tended to be on the 2/3 border in the past - if I were Mercedes, I'd be tempted to go with the 3 and hope the ultimate pace makes up the gap.
 
I was gonna say the same but then I remembered that what from what we've seen in practice the difference between the two compounds looks very minimal this week-end. It's bound to complicate things a bit and if it continues it could work in Ferrari's favour.
 
Merc really need to work on their strategy this weekend. They've been shown up quite a lot on it over the last 18 months but usually have been so quick it hasn't mattered. If the gap really is down at the front then it could really be exploited.

You kind of get the feeling that they've not filled the strategist gap left after the departure of Ross Brawn.
 
A fairly predictable qualifying session, well the front row at least. Should be fun between the William's and Ferrari's, hopefully race pace and strategy will give us a race.
 
Ideal Lap (sum best sectors) in the Qual:
No – Driver – Qual Result –Ideal Lap – Flaw
1 – 44 – L.HAMILTON – 01:35,782 – 01:35,782 – 00,000
2 – 6 – N.ROSBERG – 01:35,824 – 01:35,810 – 00,014
3 – 5 – S.VETTEL – 01:36,687 – 01:36,687 – 00,000
4 – 19 – F.MASSA – 01:36,954 – 01:36,954 – 00,000
6 – 7 – K.RAIKKONEN – 01:37,232 – 01:37,028 – 00,204
5 – 77 – V.BOTTAS – 01:37,143 – 01:37,143 – 00,000
8 – 3 – D.RICCIARDO – 01:37,540 – 01:37,540 – 00,000
7 – 8 – R.GROSJEAN – 01:37,905 – 01:37,727 – 00,178
11 – 9 – M.ERICSSON – 01:38,158 – 01:37,986 – 00,172
10 – 12 – F.NASR – 01:38,067 – 01:38,017 – 00,050
 
I presume he doesn't think it would have been better to have not made it round in time to set a lap?

Rosberg has to get his focus back to put pressure on Hamilton.
 
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