Grand Prix 2015 Australian Grand Prix Practice, Qualifying & Race Discussion

The penultimate test before the start of the season is under way so time for us all to speculate on what will happen in Australia as the teams actually race one another for the first time under the revised eco-regs. Gone are the anteater snouts, although the cars still aren't particularly pretty (to my eye at least) and we have a mix up on the driver front.

Mercedes continue with double World Champion Lewis Hamilton, who wont use car No.1 (BOO!) and Nico Rosberg whilst their likely challenges have been playing musical chairs. Fernando Alonso has gone back to McLaren and Ron Dennis is doing his Basil Fawlty impression "don't mentioned 2007. I mentioned it once but I think I got away with it" and JB retains his seat after fevered speculation :sleeping: that he would be dropped in favour of K Mag to see how well Honda can do on their return to F1 after a 6 year absence.

Vettel slips into Fernando's seat at Ferrari with the hope of dragging the red menace back to it's Schumacher glory days or perhaps even back to it's real glory days of being "The" F1 team. Kimi Raikkonen carries on Ferrari, presumably the team management saw something else last season compared to us humble fans to justify keeping him on for another bash. Either that or they discovered that Alonso had been feeding Kimi Magnum's laced with mogadon.

The Honey Badger will smile his way through the season as Red Bull's defacto No.1 with Danni Kyvat taking his place as the junior driver. What chance of a repeat of 2014 with the new boy at Red Bull showing the incumbent how it's done? Will Renault have manged to close the gap to the Mercedes power unit? As the only other team to win a race in 2014 Red Bull should be best placed to challenge the Mercedes but who knows what the other teams have been up to over the winter.

No change at Williams, Massa and Bottas continue with Mercedes power. I still can't get used to Williams Mercedes but then I'm just an old git. Assuming Williams have the same system behind the driver as the works team and their car has evolved over the winter could we see Frank's team challenging for wins?

The RB junior team has a completely new line up with Carlos Sainz and Max Verstappen at Toro Rosso. I would suggest they are as likely to be allowed to beat the main Red Bull team as Williams are the Mercs but then I'm just cynical.

Lotus, or Team Enstone as some might say, continue with Grosjean and some bloke with braces on his teeth and a huge bag full of petro dollars, this time with a Merc engine to push it along. Gone is the double nose in favour of a far more orthodox car. They should be able to challenge Force India for places this season but I doubt they will be much higher up. FI have a stable driver line up with Hulkenberg and Perez but there is much speculation about the dire state of their finances as rumours abound that Vijay Mallay is on his uppers. It may explain the haircut as he can't have paid for someone to do that to his head.

And finally to Sauber. Felipe Nasr and Marcus Ericsson have replaced Gutirrez and Sutil, I woudl presume because of the size of pay cheque they can provide. Sauber need a good season as scoring Null Points in 2014 must have cost them big in the FOM prize money pay out. They have also been very conservative in their car design but if testing is to be believed it's a fairly speedy machine and I cannot believe they won't pick up a few points this year.

Marussia or Manor GP are threatening to turn up in last years car just to make Bob Fernley feel guilty for vetoing the idea of team using the 2014 car for the first 2 or 3 races but, as has been pointed out in the past, this is the Piranha Club so don't expect any favours from the other teams.

So what to expect at Albert Park? I suspect Mercedes will still be the team to beat but the gap will have closed to Red Bull and Ferrari. Williams will be a subservient No.2 team and be close but not quite close enough. In the midfield I expect lots of racing as the team left in F1 for 2015 all appear to be very similar in terms of machinery, cash and driver capabilities. The big unanswered question is how the Mclaren Honda will perform and I don't think we will find that out until FP1 on the Friday or even come the end of the race on Sunday.

Welcome back F1, we have missed you.
 
Nobody challenged Schumi for his last 5 championships. It wasn't even close. Many of those championships were determined races in advance of the final race. Same with the last 3 Vettel championships.

If you want to talk close championships - Alonso 2005, Raikonnen 2007, Hamilton 2008, Vettel 2010 are the most recent. The rest were clinched races in advance of the finale, except for Vettel 2012 which was pretty much a foregone conclusion anyway.

I reckon you're being a little disingenuous with regards to the 2000 and 2003 seasons. Whilst it's best not to talk about 2001, 2002 and 2004, in 2000 Hakkinen was leading by two points going into the US GP with only 2 races afterwards. However, his engine blew and Schumacher went on to win that race and the penultimate one at Japan to secure the title. This was a tighter season than a close championship you allude to, 2005, where Raikkonen was always behind Alonso and the latter actually tied it up with 2 races to spare. In 2003, mainly due to the 10,8,6 scoring system, the title race went to the wire despite Schumi winning 6 races to Kimi's 1.

Anyway, I look forward to a well fought battle this year between Ferrari, Williams and Red Bull whilst Mercedes scamper off into the distance. Here's hoping that Rosberg can push Hamilton even closer this year, preferably starting with tomorrow.
 
Incubus snowy

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ilmor

Ilmor founded by Mario Ilien and Paul Morgan were based in the UK and built engines for Merc for the Indycar and F1 programme from early 90's

They built the Mercedes engine which powered Sauber and Mclaren. They were able to build engines on behalf of Mercedes until the untimely death of Paul Morgan who died in a plane crash in 2001. This was the start of Mercedes becoming more involved with the engine building by integrating Ilmor into Corporate Mercedes and also the start of reliability issues which cost them several titles in 2002-2005.

Mario Ilien also formed a separate company and tried to dabble in MotoGP before being abandoned. Ilmor Engineering is a completely separate company from Mercedes though. Whether his previous knowledge of building Mercedes engines will help Lotus remains to be seen
 
Mercedes extending the gap to the other teams is probably because of the decline of their closest challengers. Last year in Australia if I remember correctly it was Red Bull and McLaren battling for second behind Rosberg. McLaren are at the very back this year and Red Bull are even more unhappy with Renault now, only getting one car to Q3.
 
I was veey impressed on how much of an improved driver Carlos Sainz was when he moved to WSR 3.5 last year but he seems to have turned it up a notch again. He was the stand out quali for me. I do worry for him that its Max Verstappen getting all the media praise though.

Nice to see Ferrari and Williams on good form but we all knew no one was going to touch the Mercs. Even saying that though you have to say some of those laps Lewis put in were breath taking!
 
.....and we're down to 17 on the grid apparently as Bottas has been ruled out with a back injury.

Someone predicted 17 to start for this race earlier on in the thread. Who was that?
 
It means two thirds of the grid will score points today if they finish.

All we need now is a Maldonado super move at the start concluding in a multi car pile up.
 
Non starters both Manors, Bottas, Kvyat, Magnussen.

Mad.

Can't Williams reserve driver race for Bottas. Suzie Wolff ? or would she have to qualify in his place ?
 
Apparantly she can't I've been told.
If a car doesn't start is it classed as a non finisher..or does it have to start to be classed a non finisher.( she asks thinking her fantasy league bonus answer is woefullY screwed!)
 
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