Grand Prix 2012 Spanish Grand Prix Practice, Qualifying & Race Discussion

With the flyaway races finished for the time being the F1 bandwagon rolls into Europe for the first time for the Spanish Grand Prix. Traditionally this race hasn't provided the most entertaining of races with the pole sitter more often than not going on to win the race. 2011 was no exception as pole sitter Sebastian Vettel went on to win the race, however he wasn't by any means cruising as Lewis Hamilton charged him down and almost managed to take the lead off the young German but ran out of laps as he just couldn't get into the DRS window around a track that is difficult to overtake on.

Going into this years race it is virtually impossible on who is going to win the race. So far there have been 4 different winners with Jenson Button, Fernando Alonso, Nico Rosberg and Sebastian Vettel all having stood on the top step of the podium so far this season and there hasn't been any team which has been consistently at the front at all four races with everyone having their fair share of problems and also benefiting from other peoples problems. The only truly consistent teams seem to be in the regions of midfield with teams like Williams who are now regular contenders for points after their 2012 car is proving to be far better than their dismal 2011 effort which barely managed to get a point and they have already surpassed last years total in just 4 races which isn't a bad achievement considering both drivers weren't exactly tipped for great things this season.

The buzzword at Mclaren at the moment and particularly for Lewis Hamilton is undoubtedly pit stops after a series of poor stops destroyed his race in Bahrain and also in Australia when he got caught out by the safety car. Jenson Button has also been affected by poor pit stops which show how these aren't isolated incidents and it is something that Mclaren urgently need to address as there is virtually no chance of getting on the podium let alone winning a race if they keep botching pit stops, for example, Hamilton lost well over 20 seconds from just pit stop problems which robbed them of at the very least 4th place if not a podium but this was probably unlikely given the supreme pace of Raikkonen and Grosjean in the lotus cars.

Indeed, lotus finally managed their most consistent race of the season and showed that they have designed a very fast race car as Kimi Raikkonen very nearly won his first race since returning to the sport in only his fourth race as an aggressive race saw him get within striking distance of leader Vettel but ultimately fell slightly away and had to settle for second which was still a fantastic result and with Grosjean finishing a comfortable third things are looking up for lotus going into the European season.

Barcelona is traditionally a hot and dry race although there have been wet races before although there hasn't been a rain affected race for a good number of years now. However it will be still difficult to suggest a possible winner as it depends who was the most productive at the Mugello test which starts today (Tuesday 1st May) and teams like Ferrari are banking that the raft of updates and upgrades that they will bring to the car for Barcelona will kick start their stuttering season which would be a boost for Fernando Alonso at his home race and an improved car would easily give him a good chance of a third drivers championship as he has already won a race in the below average Ferrari that is lower points at best at this moment in time but that could change for Barcelona and they will need to otherwise heads could be rolling at Maranello if Ferrari are out of the Championship before it has barely got going.

For Galahad 's brilliant circuit write up, see here http://cliptheapex.com/pages/circuit-de-catalunya/
 
I have one concern about Hamilton apart from reported clutch and launch problems.

He stopped on track after quali now if it was because of a mechanical fault that could be big problem but if it was because the team have under filled his car then surely he will have to take a penalty. after the ruling when they did it in Canada 2010.
 
Possibly. He's had some misfortune this season so far, but I'm starting to feel it doesn't matter. He's only 4 points off the lead despite safety car trouble, previous grid penalties and pit stop trouble. It's starting to look like we've got the old Lewis Hamilton back. They won't be able to hold him back forever when he is constantly putting it on the front row.

Certainly does look like there could be some complications, but still think he has to be absolutely delighted with that, and could still win it from 6th in my opinion.
 
If he was told to stop on the track to make sure there'd be enough fuel (whatever Whitmarsh said in public) for inspection and if McLaren had deliberately under-fuelled him to get a touch of extra-pace with a bit less fuel weight on, the team could be in hot water because they'd already got a rap on the knuckles for doing that in Canada 2010....
 
VettelĀ“s car had an unusually high rear ride height and huge amount of rake on his Q3 installation run. Could be an understeer issue, but it really was quite odd to see.
 
I presume Karthikeyan will be allowed to race despite not being within 107% as he has been throughout the free practice sessions.
 
I don't know why they'd ever do that. Mclaren know how much fuel is needed for an outlap, lap, inlap. I'm going to rule out the fuel thing till I hear otherwise, because it would be the stupidest thing they've ever done to the driver who was pretty much fastest ever time he went out today.
 
I presume Karthikeyan will be allowed to race despite not being within 107% as he has been throughout the free practice sessions.

I guess, although it is getting to the point where it looks like he isn't quite cutout for this level.
 
What did everyone make of Button? 11th on merit. He had a good number of runs and still couldn't get in. I did think this was going to be one of the difficulties in his title bid. He can be temperamental as people have alluded to before when the car isn't just right. The fact is the best drivers are able to find time in situations where everything isn't right, and both Lewis and Fernando have shown that consistently in their careers, which really sets them apart. I think that's what Fernando was saying last year.
 
downforce Exactly. And the joy on his face after quali doesn't quite tally up with Whitmarsh speaking of (unspecified) "car issues" does it?
If this is true I would expect LH to keep his pole, but a massive fine coming McLaren's way wouldn't surprise me one bit, because they have previous don't they?
 
I fully expect Hamilton to receive a grid drop penalty.
I can't think what else it could be other than being low on fuel as the car is obviously performing well.

Unless the clutch issues have got worse in which case he may need another gearbox change?
 
The speed trap makes interesting reading. It looks like Lotus (323kph) are again going to have a speed advantage. The McLarens (318kph) are next up. Maldonado (313kph) and the Red Bulls (311kph) way down.

The Williams does look a bit of a sitting duck but it must be mighty quick on the twisty bits to get the laptime overall! I had another look at Friday's P2 times for Pastor and he is in the 29s for a while and under 1.31 until lap 12.

Lewis played it very ABC in qualifying and I think he will approach the race in the same way. 3 stops: option (lap 12) , option (lap 27), option (lap 42), prime until lap 66 finish.

Is anyone going to be able to make a two stop work? I can't say, but you'd have to be able to do 25-27 laps on two prime stints.

The alternative strategy would be to go after a big undercut, pitting anywhere from lap 8 and then maybe lap 20, changing the last two stints to two primes of 23 laps each.
 
Really? I'm thinking we're on the cusp of 4 stops. There isn't a lot of evidence these hards are going to last 24 laps out there?
 
A bit strange isn't it Whitmarsh saying Lewis was told to stop on the track because of a "technical issue", an issue he doesn't know the nature of (whatever happened to telemetry?)...
 
Obviously we haven't got the data until after the race, but it looks like the hard is losing with fuel (0.1s per lap) with a 1 second offset to the softs - I don't think anyone in FP2 found a wall with the hard tyres so by lap 20, you are losing 2s / lap to a new set. Last year, the hards started 2s slower and degraded at 0.2s / lap. You have to make up 25s or so to justify a pitstop.

The softs look like they go exponential around lap 12 (on a used set). Them going to lap 16 is not going to happen probably, so you are then looking to add these 3 x 4 laps onto a prime stint. Doing 12 more laps on just one set is bound to fail probably, so splitting this and doing two 22 lap stints on primes can make a 3 stop I think.

Then there is the cost of the pitstop and losing track position. Maybe the pole sitter can make 4 stops work, but it's a fair bit slower (10s over the race using last year's crazy deg figures). Last year everyone chased the undercut so they were making their second stops on lap 20. Some may try it again, but JB made a three stop work by going to lap 16 from the start and doing opt, opt, opt, prime

The other problem with 4 stopping is that you are running much more on the hard tyre as Webber and Alonso found last year.
 
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