Grand Prix 2011 Brazilian Grand Prix Practice, Qualifying & Race Discussion

Only one more to go, better find those samba drums

After Abu Dhabi we move onto Brazil for the final race of the 2011 F1 season and for a lot of people it can't come quick enough, it's certainly been an interesting season with Sebastian Vettel and the RB7 dominating the year with the German breaking almost every record in the book.

But in Abu Dhabi his luck finally ran out. After taking yet another pole position he suffered a dramatic puncture at turn 2 of the first lap and had to retire with damage to his car making it unsafe and undrivable. This turn of events helped Lewis Hamilton put his demons behind him (and Felipe Massa) to take his third win of the season with a perfect drive finishing ahead of Fernando Alonso who brilliantly took second in a slower car.

For Hamilton it marks the end of a dramatic dip in form where he had lost his confidence and hitting everyone around him. He was on the pace all weekend and was unlucky not to take pole. In the race, despite pressure from Alonso, he didn't put a foot wrong all race to take his 17th race win and in the process leading his 1000th lap in F1. Jenson Button has one and a half hands on second place in the championship after taking a strong third place after battling with KERS problems for the first half of the race meaning he was unable to challenge Hamilton or Alonso.

Mark Webber was once again unable to step up to the plate after his team-mate retired and after battling with Button and Massa for most of the race, took fourth after a change of strategy in the middle of the race gave him the jump over the Ferrari who still is a long way off the pace and is more likely to fall behind the Mercedes drivers than challenge the leaders.

Schumacher and Rosberg had very quiet races but came through to finish 6th and 7th as they continue to have a massive gap in the championship between the teams above and below and they are almost running in their own formula of the middle of the points as they arent fast enough to challenge the Ferraris, Red Bulls and Mclarens, but are faster than the Renaults, Force Indias and Torro Rossos.

It was a rare point for Kamui Kobayashi who has had some poor races recently but took the final point for Sauber ahead of his team-mate to inch ahead of Jaime Alguersuari in the standings and at this point of the season, every point is crucial, particularly when contracts are up for renewal which is of utmost importance for a lot of midfield drivers.

Moving onto Brazil, a track where Red Bull dominated in 2010 with Vettel winning to keep his chances of his first championship alive and it was where Red Bull sealed their first Constructors World Championship. It was also Williams last pole position after Nico Hulkenburg shocked everyone to take his first pole.

This year things arent quite so complicated with both championships wrapped up long ago, but there are still a lot of scores to be settled up and down the grid, none more so than the battle for second in the championship with Button and Alonso separated by just 10 points. The newer teams will be hoping for a high attrition race so that one of them might scrape into 10th place and take their first point which would be worth millions to HRT, Caterham and Marussia. Brazil has been the scene of many a classic race (just ask both Mclaren drivers) and this years race should be no different.

For Galahads superb circuit write up, see herehttp://cliptheapex.com/pages/autodromo-jose-carlos-pace-interlagos/
 
Congratulations to Sebastain Vettel on a record breaking day for the lad. Just don't go and ruining the end of our season by running away with the victory ;).

Fingers-crossed Mclaren and Webber can keep him in close company. Rain may be forecast but you can't bank on it really anything could happen.
 
So, who do we think is going to win tomorrow? I actually think we could be in for a surprise winner, so I'm going to say Vettel Massa.
 
An hour ago
The teams and drivers seem not to like me and aren't replying to me on twitter!

No more sun! It's now cloudy and drizzling and it's cold :( think its going to be a wet race tomorrow! Will make things interesting!
D'ambrosio's Trainer
 
Nice. All times Sao Paulo time.
Time Temperature Conditions Feels Like Humidity Chance of Precip.
Sunday, 27 November
12:00 21°C
11.png
Light Rain 21°C 84% 90%

13:00 22°C
11.png
Light Rain 22°C 81% 100%

14:00 22°C
4.png
T-Storms 22°C 81% 100%

15:00 22°C
4.png
T-Storms 22°C 81% 100%

16:00 22°C
4.png
T-Storms 22°C 81% 100%

17:00 22°C
4.png
T-Storms 22°C 81% 90%

18:00 21°C
4.png
T-Storms 21°C 81% 90%

19:00 21°C
4.png
T-Storms 21°C 81% 90%
 
Problemo: If it rains too heavily (ie enough for extreme wets) race control may send out the safety car, red flag the race, and they delay it for 2 hours - by the time it is restarted, conditions will not have improved at all or the track will be bone dry.
 
I am seeing the same forecast on the weatherpro app. Satellite shows huge build up of cloud in the last 3 hours.

I fear a farce. Remember the turn 3 river?
 
A few glimmers of hope for those not wanting Vettel to run away with this race:-

  • The gap between RB and McLaren in qualifying was most likely exaggerated by the fact that McLaren didn't get the option tyre working properly. Martin Whitmarsh has said as much and pointed towards potentially choosing incorrect tyre pressures. What is clear is that if you look at McLaren from Q1 - Q2, they improved much less than almost all the other cars. The same can also be said from Q1 - Q3. Once they get the tyres in the correct range, their pace is very close to Red Bull.
  • The long runs carried out during P2 indicate McLaren are closer on race pace than they were at India and Korea for example. RB typically run their 2nd stint fuel level whereas McLaren run with a full tank. The difference between the times suggests McLaren will be fairly close.
  • If it stays dry, Red Bull may be in trouble with their tyres. There has been talk all weekend of RB blistering their tyres and this could hurt them in the race compared to McLaren and Ferrari.
  • If it rains then the race is a lottery. One thing is for sure, if McLaren's pace in Korea practice is anything to go by then they could demolish the field. If you remember they were nearly 2 seconds quicker than anything else!

The finger may not come out today after all. :)
 
Does anyone else hope McLaren have gambled on a wet setup?

I have a feeling that pole meant more to Vettel this weekend than a race win and that he may have gone for a one-lap setup. Wishful thinking, perhaps.
 
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