Grand Prix 2016 Belgian Grand Prix Practice, Qualifying & Race Discussion

People have different opinions about most of the F1 circuits but if there is something everybody agrees on is that SPA-Francorchamps circuit is great, for many their favourite.

How could it not, you've got the Ardennes forest, the very high speed, the ups and downs and iconic turns like La Source, Eau Rouge and Raidillon, Stavelot, Bus Stop. Could it be the motorsport heritage? For as long as cars have gone racing, Spa is associated with velocity. Of course at the turn of the 20th century they used the original circuit of 86km (or was it 118km?).

Even after it was shorten to 15km and then 7km, it kept its pedigree, its spirit. As the race comes closer, the anxiety continues to build in F1 fans; a 4-week summer break may be deserved for the drivers and teams but creates a void that cannot be filled with race reruns or silly season discussion. And it's mind-boggling that they have kept it as is but they've added more and more races (currently we are at 21) making each result of little relevance is the great scheme of things.

It is also Spa back in 1991 the race that saw the debut of F1 most successful driver ever, one Michael Schumacher. He never raced there before and went around the circuit in a bicycle to get to know it, before posting the best 7th time and running as high as 6th when his clutch gave up.

That was then but back to 2016, as it has been the case the past 3 years, Mercedes are the clear favourites. At the beginning of the year it seemed like this was going to be Nico Rosberg year, 4 victories in the first 4 races, a testimony of that, yet after his retirement in Spain the German has failed to recover his mojo and instead Lewis Hamilton seems destined to win his 4th championship (3rd in a row) with 6 victories in the last 7 races. It doesn’t seem likely that Rosberg is going to be a challenge for the remaining of the year which is a shame but confirms he’s not really a top-drawer driver.

Even though mathematically Mercedes can still lose the championship this year, it won’t happen and they have decided to go with a conservative approach to the race, having the fewest sets of supersoft tires. And why wouldn’t they, at the beginning of the year it seemed like Ferrari was mounting a challenge but they have clearly faded away. Also, after a stellar debut with the Scuderia last year, Sebastian Vettel seems to be at odds with the team. No longer have a quick smiled ear to ear but rather a wry one (if any); the German is conflicted by the lack of performance of his car and the off camera politics that are at play and seem to be more prevalent than ever. Almost the opposite can be said of Kimi Raikkonen who seemed to have recovered some of his flare, especially after his contract has been renewed for yet another year.

RedBull has taken over as the challenger to Mercedes but they are a few ways down the road when it comes to challenging the Silver Arrows. However the intra-team battle has been really interesting; Ricciardo the established lead and Max Verstappen the newcomer, very little separate them when it comes to qualifying and race results. If anything the young Dutch has allowed Daniel Ricciardo to shine again with superb performances in the past 2 races. Will the Aussie be able to capitalize and win a race this year? Let’s hope it is at Spa to mix it up a little bit.

Summer break also brought news of Manor racing demoting one of their drivers, Indonesian Rio Haryanto in favour of French DTM and F1 test driver Esteban Ocon, a moved caused by Haryanto’s inability to pay the 6.5 million pounds required to keep his seat. This in turn has lost Pertamina as Manor sponsor.

One of the best f1 weekends is just around the corner but the shadow of terrorism is upon it and the race organizers have made sure security takes centre stage. This is not really comforting for fans but it’s the new 2016 reality.

What are your predictions?
 
Moist

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Dan through Q2 on softs is interesting, only other one to do that is Nico. So softs for Dan and Nico tomorrow in the first stint.
 
I think Ferrari are on softs as well as they went out on the super softs but didn't set a faster lap time.
 
Lewis up to a 55 place grid penalty now. What nonsense.
It's a pretty smart move, isn't it? I'm not saying it's right, per se, but it's within the rules. Hopefully it will allow a straight shoot-out between Hamilton and Rosberg for the rest of the season.
 
It's a pretty smart move, isn't it? I'm not saying it's right, per se, but it's within the rules. Hopefully it will allow a straight shoot-out between Hamilton and Rosberg for the rest of the season.

Actually isn't Hamilton at an advantage after this? Has more engines.
 
Rosberg will start on the Soft and Verstappen - on the SuperSoft.
It is interesting which tyres will be choiced by Hamilton
 
Be an interesting start. Verstappen and FI could make up some ground starting on softer tyres, Rosberg's start is fifty-fifty at the best of times with both Ferraris in his tail too.

Could be a full-on 2012 situation with many cars battling at the front for the same apex. Verstappen getting clear is also possible and strategically interesting.

Hamilton will also presumably start quickly and get into La Source in a three or four, and Alonso tends to pick up places too...

If there's no shenanigans in the first lap then there'll be interest in the Hammy fight and the tyres!
 
If Rosberg has a poor start and has to defend he could be out early, if that happens Hamilton's approach to the entire GP will be making sure he finishes, even if he's only able to capture a few points. Could be less exciting than expected, all will depend on the first lap, maybe even turn one.
 
No reason for me to believe this but I have a gut feeling Hamilton will score more points than Rosberg. I don't think it will be a happy GP for Nico. :ermmm:
 
Risk of rain has dropped to just 16% so looks like a dry race. It must be great being a weather forecaster, get the forecast wrong every single day and you still keep your job, you don't even have to apologise to anyone for yesterdays forecast.

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Or as the BBC put it, no rain until 17:00 (or thereabouts).

BBC Weather - Spa-La Sauvenière Airport

On the engine change malarkey it is absolutely ridiculous, so bad in fact that it could have been dreamed up by the FIA..It is totally unfair that a driver could actually finish up with 3 complete brand new engines with only a penalty for one. It should be that the penalty for each engine should apply for the race that it is first used for. or is that too simple.
 
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