Grand Prix 2012 Belgian Grand Prix Practice, Qualifying & Race Discussion

Doesn't time fly! The summer break is approaching the end and after an astonishing Olympics which gripped a nation, the attention now turns across the Channel to see if another Brit can continue his push for glory. Victory in Hungary saw Lewis Hamilton reignite his stuttering season and closed (however small) the gap to Alonso to just over 40 points. The update package introduced in Germany have thrown McLaren back to the front again and just in time as any longer and Hamilton would have been out of the title battle just like his team-mate has been after a nightmare summer for Button. Hamilton has generally gone well at Spa with 1 win, a third place and a fourth. Although depending on your viewpoint it should be 2 wins and a fourth after the 2008 mess.

Although the true king of Spa has returned to the throne in the Lotus and with wins in 2004,2005,2007 and 2009 (close to winning in 2008 as well) not many would bet against the Iceman taking his first victory of the season at his favourite track. The Lotus has been in good form in recent races and a second and third in Hungary proved that where they pushed Hamilton from lights to flag but couldn't quite get past the McLaren driver.

Belgium is famous for it's 4 seasons in a hour in all different parts of the track weather and no doubt if rain is about that plays into the hands of the Championship leader Alonso as the Ferrari is the quickest car in the wet but possibly only the 4th quickest car in the dry, that was evident at Hungary anyway, whether that translates to Spa it is unknown, however Ferrari have traditionally been quick at Spa having won more times there (16) than anyone else so they/Alonso will be in the mix on race day, well let's face it, Massa won't be.

The big unknown here is Red Bull, having had to make several changes to their car to stop make sure it is legal and it has affected performance in recent races and they weren't in the hunt in Hungary. Indeed, Double World Champion Sebastian Vettel is on the longest winless streak since he joined Red Bull in 2009 having not won since Bahrain in April and the young German is currently a few points behind Mark Webber who has had somewhat of a resurgance this year having won at Monaco and Silverstone to become the leading chase driver in the Championship behind Alonso. No doubt Red Bull will be keen to avoid the infighting that nearly cost them the 2010 Championship and to ensure that they don't fall foul of any more FIA regulations as any more problems could see them slip behind Hamilton and possibly even Raikkonen.

Raikkonen is viewed by many as the dark horse for the Championship. He's only a few points behind Hamilton despite having yet to win a race this season which is a testament to his consistency, something which so nearly got him the 2003 title despite only winning one race all year (Malaysia). He's closed down bigger gaps in the past (2007) so he could play a major part in the Championship and if he doesn't ultimately end up in the mix at the end of the season, he'll certainly play a part in terms of taking points off other drivers as he will want to be in contention for podiums and wins as the first win has eluded him so far. He's certainly having a very successful comeback so far and has shown that the 2 years he's had out hasn't affected him whatsoever.

For Galahad 's circuit write up - http://cliptheapex.com/pages/circuit-de-spa-francorchamps/
 
I wouldn't under-estimate Red Bull or Mercedes, I don't think Mercedes will win, but I think they'll be a bit more competitive, the track should suit them (well most of us thought that in Canada too), plus they have big upgrades too, hopefully we'll see them at the front.

Red Bull last year weren't looked at for victory at Canada, Spa or Monza, yet they nearly had all 3 victories sewn up. Saying that though, the Red Bull this year, doesn't seem to be like the last 3, different characteristics, the main similarity though is their top speed, which is very low compared to others and probably could hamper them.

Hoping for a good race for Felipe Massa, he's steady around this track, although last year wasn't great, so not much hope.

Think McLaren will be competitive, Lotus, if the weather is below 20 degrees, then is an unknown.

Not sure I have a good feeling for this race, if it rains, then I'm pretty sure Ferrari will definitely be up there, making the championship less exciting.
 
Looks like it's going to be a chilly one, current forecast temperature for Sunday is around 15 C and a few degrees cooler on Saturday.
 
Forecasts are beautifully unpredictable things. Most of the ones I've seen are a bit hotter than that though (more like 17 - 20 C), and most importantly cloudy but supposedly not rainy.
 
Lotus have brought their DDRS to Spa, whether they use it or not is another matter.

McLaren definitely won't be using it as they haven't brought it.
 
Courtesy of Tobias Grüner of http://www.auto-motor-und-sport.de/formel1, here are a few pictures of McLaren's new side pods.

mclaren-sidepods.jpg


mclaren-sidepods-2.jpg


https://twitter.com/tgruener/status/241225197259223041
 
All this build up and anxious waiting during the 5 week break and now we have...even more build up and anxious waiting while the rain pours at Spa...
 
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