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How many races a world champion took to win their first race is largely irrelevant due to the car that they're in. Hamilton started in the best car on the grid whereas Button didn't have a car capable of victory for a long time. Usually you can see potential in a driver, even if they're not winning races, look at Vettel in the STR3, it was clear that he was outperforming what an average driver would be accomplishing in that car.