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I'm willing to stick my neck out and say that the teams will run 2 stops, and those with a conventional strategy will stop on lap 18 to change from supersoft - soft, then will run 30 laps on the softs, before stopping for a fresh set of softs at the end.... The gaps required to run a (good) 3 stop would be too high, as there will inevitably be someone who the drivers get stuck behind, costing them the race....Even if there is a safety car, it is not necessarily a no-brainer to stop immediately for tyres.... Just imagine Vettel (say) stops after 10 laps, because of a safety car... He then comes out behind Maldonado, who hasn't stopped, but was lapping 2 seconds a lap slower than the front cars.... This being Monaco, there's nowhere to overtake, so the cars at the front who didn't stop can start to pull away very fast...The only way that this race can turn into a 3 stopper (Or a 4 stopper) is if there is enough of a differential between the front and the rear of the field to allow the cars to slot into empty space ahead of the mid-field....
I'm willing to stick my neck out and say that the teams will run 2 stops, and those with a conventional strategy will stop on lap 18 to change from supersoft - soft, then will run 30 laps on the softs, before stopping for a fresh set of softs at the end.... The gaps required to run a (good) 3 stop would be too high, as there will inevitably be someone who the drivers get stuck behind, costing them the race....
Even if there is a safety car, it is not necessarily a no-brainer to stop immediately for tyres.... Just imagine Vettel (say) stops after 10 laps, because of a safety car... He then comes out behind Maldonado, who hasn't stopped, but was lapping 2 seconds a lap slower than the front cars.... This being Monaco, there's nowhere to overtake, so the cars at the front who didn't stop can start to pull away very fast...
The only way that this race can turn into a 3 stopper (Or a 4 stopper) is if there is enough of a differential between the front and the rear of the field to allow the cars to slot into empty space ahead of the mid-field....